{"id":105027,"date":"2022-01-06T10:51:33","date_gmt":"2022-01-06T09:51:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/?p=105027"},"modified":"2022-01-06T10:51:35","modified_gmt":"2022-01-06T09:51:35","slug":"pepic-hrvati-ne-bi-mogli-izabrati-clana-predsjednistva-po-elektorskom-modelu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/index.php\/2022\/01\/06\/pepic-hrvati-ne-bi-mogli-izabrati-clana-predsjednistva-po-elektorskom-modelu\/","title":{"rendered":"Pepi\u0107: Hrvati ne bi mogli izabrati \u010dlana Predsjedni\u0161tva po elektorskom modelu"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Presudni, vjerojatno odlu\u010duju\u0107i razgovori o izbornoj reformi u BiH trebali bi se nastaviti u drugoj polovini ovog mjeseca kada \u0107e se znati ho\u0107e li biti postignut politi\u010dki sporazum prije svega izme\u0111u hrvatske i bo\u0161nja\u010dke strane oko izmjena Izbornog zakona koji se ti\u010de na\u010dina biranja izaslanika u federalni Dom naroda i Predsjedni\u0161tvo BiH, pi\u0161e Ve\u010dernji list BiH<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kada su se nakon nedavnih razgovora vode\u0107i politi\u010dki predstavnici Hrvata i Bo\u0161njaka, predsjednik HNS-a BiH i HDZ-a Dragan \u010covi\u0107 i SDA Bakir Izetbegovi\u0107, rastali od posrednika, posebnog izaslanika State Departmenta za izbornu reformu Matthewa Palmera i direktorice za Europu i Aziju pri Europskoj slu\u017ebi za vanjsko djelovanje Angeline Eichhorst, dobili su prijedlog izborne reforme po ameri\u010dkom, elektorskom modelu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nedugo nakon toga jedan od vode\u0107ih bo\u0161nja\u010dkih aktivista Jasmin Mujanovi\u0107, koji \u010desto javnost bombardira s insiderskim informacijama, objavio je kako “ovaj model ne ostavlja ni ‘najmanju mogu\u0107nost’ da hrvatski kandidat izgubi”. Pri tome je naveo kako se radi o tome da se elektorski glasovi podijele prema \u017eupanijama s obzirom na to koliko stanovni\u0161tva \u017eivi u odnosu na Federaciju kao izbornu jedinicu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Taj je prijedlog ra\u0111en na temelju pretpostavke na kojoj inzistira Venecijanska komisija da se iz Ustava BiH trebaju izbrisati narodi u slu\u010daju biranja \u010dlanova Predsjedni\u0161tva. No, za razliku od Mujanovi\u0107a drugi analiti\u010dar, politolog Ivan Pepi\u0107, s adresom u \u0160vicarskoj, tvrdi posve suprotno.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“To je zapravo ve\u0107inski model koji bo\u0161nja\u010dkim kandidatima jam\u010di dva mandata kao \u0161to je to slu\u010daj po sada\u0161njem sustavu”, napisao je Pepi\u0107 u poja\u0161njenju na svome Twitter nalogu. Mujanovi\u0107 i Pepi\u0107 pri tome analiziraju raspodjelu elektora po pojedinim \u017eupanijama. Kako se doznaje, u “igri” su 94 elektora koji bi se raspodijelili sukladno rezultatima popisa stanovni\u0161tva BiH provedenog 2013. Jednostavno je izra\u010dunati da bi u tome slu\u010daju Tuzlanska \u017eupanija imala najvi\u0161e, 19 elektora.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Druga bi bila Sarajevska \u017eupanija sa 17 glasova elektora. Slijedi Zeni\u010dko-dobojska s 15 elektora, a zatim i Unsko-sanska \u017eupanija koja je po popisu stanovni\u0161tva 2013. godine \u010detvrta najbrojnija i 12 ruka elektora. Sredi\u0161nja Bosna ima 11 elektora, a tek onda kao \u0161esta po broju pu\u010danstva Hercegova\u010dko-neretvanska dobiva 9 elektora. Zapadnohercegova\u010dka \u017eupanija i Hercegbosanska \u017eupanija davale bi po 4 elektora. Posavskoj su \u017eupaniji dodijeljena 2 elektora, a Bosansko-podrinjskoj jedan elektorski glas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Elektorski sustav je takav da pobjednik iz izbornih podru\u010dja \u2013 \u017eupanija odnosi sve glasove u kona\u010dnome zbroju. Ulaze\u0107i u dublju analizu, jasno je kako na bo\u0161nja\u010dkim podru\u010djima, gdje su bira\u010di iz toga naroda dominantni, dolazi \u010dak 75 elektora, dok je s hrvatskih podru\u010dja 19 elektora.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To zaista, gotovo teorijski, daje vi\u0161e od 75% izgleda Bo\u0161njacima da izaberu oba \u010dlana BiH Predsjedni\u0161tva. Ovaj je model, s obzirom na na\u010din kako se dobiva kona\u010dni pobjednik, jo\u0161 lo\u0161iji od sada\u0161njeg na temelju kojega su Bo\u0161njaci u tri navrata nametnuli \u017deljka Kom\u0161i\u0107a za \u010dlana Predsjedni\u0161tva BiH. Ako se pak u\u0111e u jo\u0161 dublju analizu izbornih pobjednika po \u017eupanijama, dobiva se rezultat po kojemu bo\u0161nja\u010dki bira\u010di daju 39 elektora jednome, a drugome zajedno s “gra\u0111anima” jo\u0161 36 elektora za drugog \u010dlana Predsjedni\u0161tva. Hrvati bi imali izgleda dobiti \u010dlana Predsjedni\u0161tva samo kada bi Bo\u0161njaci imali \u010detiri i vi\u0161e posve ravnopravnih kandidata. Ovaj model bi tek s naknadnom potvrdom glasovanja u Domu naroda davao odre\u0111enu sigurnost Hrvatima.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Izvor: Dnevnik.ba<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Presudni, vjerojatno odlu\u010duju\u0107i razgovori o izbornoj reformi u BiH trebali bi se nastaviti u drugoj polovini ovog mjeseca kada \u0107e se znati ho\u0107e li biti postignut politi\u010dki sporazum prije svega izme\u0111u hrvatske i bo\u0161nja\u010dke strane oko izmjena Izbornog zakona koji se ti\u010de na\u010dina biranja izaslanika u federalni Dom naroda i Predsjedni\u0161tvo BiH, pi\u0161e Ve\u010dernji list BiH. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":104831,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"h5ap_radio_sources":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-105027","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bihiregija"],"yoast_head":"\nPepi\u0107: Hrvati ne bi mogli izabrati \u010dlana Predsjedni\u0161tva po elektorskom modelu - RADIO LJUBU\u0160KI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/index.php\/2022\/01\/06\/pepic-hrvati-ne-bi-mogli-izabrati-clana-predsjednistva-po-elektorskom-modelu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hr_HR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pepi\u0107: Hrvati ne bi mogli izabrati \u010dlana Predsjedni\u0161tva po elektorskom modelu - RADIO LJUBU\u0160KI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Presudni, vjerojatno odlu\u010duju\u0107i razgovori o izbornoj reformi u BiH trebali bi se nastaviti u drugoj polovini ovog mjeseca kada \u0107e se znati ho\u0107e li biti postignut politi\u010dki sporazum prije svega izme\u0111u hrvatske i bo\u0161nja\u010dke strane oko izmjena Izbornog zakona koji se ti\u010de na\u010dina biranja izaslanika u federalni Dom naroda i Predsjedni\u0161tvo BiH, pi\u0161e Ve\u010dernji list BiH. 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