{"id":11860,"date":"2021-04-11T21:29:28","date_gmt":"2021-04-11T20:29:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/?p=11860"},"modified":"2021-04-11T21:29:28","modified_gmt":"2021-04-11T20:29:28","slug":"cicin-sain-otkrio-zasto-su-prognoze-americkog-instituta-za-hrvatsku-pogresne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/index.php\/2021\/04\/11\/cicin-sain-otkrio-zasto-su-prognoze-americkog-instituta-za-hrvatsku-pogresne\/","title":{"rendered":"\u010ci\u010din-\u0160ain otkrio za\u0161to su prognoze ameri\u010dkog instituta za Hrvatsku pogre\u0161ne"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Situacija \u0107e se nastaviti razvijati ovom trajektorijom koja je sada prisutna, ne\u0107e do\u0107i do brzog uru\u0161avanja broja novih slu\u010dajeva, osim eventualno u Primorsko-goranskoj \u017eupaniji koja ide u lockdown, rekao je dr. Luka \u010ci\u010din-\u0160ain, virusni imunolog, gostuju\u0107i u Dnevniku HTV-a.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nezavisni ameri\u010dki institut za procjene u zdravstvu na Sveu\u010dili\u0161tu u Washingtonu iznio je da je u Hrvatskoj ve\u0107 pro\u0161ao vrhunac tre\u0107eg vala u broju novih slu\u010dajeva zaraze. Vrhunac u hospitalizacijama slijedi za desetak dana. Predvi\u0111aju da bi najve\u0107i broj smrtnih slu\u010dajeva trebali imati po\u010detkom svibnja. 

– Bio sam pomalo iznena\u0111en jednom takvom prognozom da je Hrvatska ve\u0107 pro\u0161la vrhunac tre\u0107eg vala, na temelju \u010dega bi se onda brojevi trebali smanjivati kad nismo promijenili na znatniji na\u010din mjere na razini Hrvatske. Ono \u0161to sam vidio na stranici instituta, to je da projekcije govore da bi se brojke trebale dramati\u010dno spustiti prema dolje. Oni tako\u0111er procjenjuju da \u0107e u Hrvatskoj do\u0107i do znatnog poo\u0161travanja mjera socijalnog distanciranja od idu\u0107a dva-tri dana, da bi se trebale u\u010detverostru\u010diti te mjere koje su na snazi. Koliko ja znam, to je prisutno samo u Primorsko-goranskoj \u017eupaniji. Moja procjena je da je do\u0161lo do zabune tamo, da ljudi s instituta ne prate ba\u0161 Hrvatsku, da su \u010duli za mjere u Primorsko-goranskoj \u017eupaniji i da su ih primijenili na cijelu zemlju i na taj na\u010din napravili model koji tako ne\u0161to prikazuje, rekao je virusni imunolog iz Centra za infektolo\u0161ka istra\u017eivanja u Braunschweigu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lije\u010dnici u Hrvatskoj isti\u010du da te\u017eu klini\u010dku sliku razvijaju sve mla\u0111i ljudi koji prethodno nisu imali zdravstvenih problema te da je sami tijek bolesti br\u017ei. \u010ci\u010din-\u0160ain je rekao da je situacija u Njema\u010dkoj ista. 

– Imamo posla s novim varijantama virusa koje se lak\u0161e lijepe za stanice, lak\u0161e se \u0161ire kroz tijelo pojedinca i onda se brzo pro\u0161ire kroz plu\u0107a i izazovu dramati\u010dnu klini\u010dku sliku. Te nove varijante ba\u0161 zato \u0161to se lak\u0161e lijepe za stanice se i lak\u0161e prenose s \u010dovjeka na \u010dovjeka \u0161to dovodi do toga da se ubrzano \u0161iri kroz populaciju. To je sasvim drugi virus nego onaj koji smo imali 2020., rekao je \u010ci\u010din \u0160ain.

Govore\u0107i o strahu ljudi prema cjepivu protiv koronavirusa, \u010ci\u010din-\u0160ain je naglasio da su nuspojave izuzetno rijetke.

– Radi se o nuspojavama koje su na razini 1:50.000 \u017eena ispod 60 godina, 1:500.000 mu\u0161karaca ispod 60 godina, kod ovih preko 60 godina nisu uop\u0107e zabilje\u017eeni takvi slu\u010dajevi. To uop\u0107e nije tako \u010desto i zbog toga je rizik od takvih nuspojava daleko manji nego rizik da se netko zarazi i ozbiljno oboli. Jo\u0161 uvijek je ta prevaga na strani cijepljenja u odnosu ne cijepi se, pogotovo u situaciji tre\u0107eg vala gdje je vrlo lako da se netko zarazi, poru\u010dio je.

Mnogi se pitaju trebaju li se cijepiti ako su preboljeli koronavirus budu\u0107i da imaju odre\u0111enu razinu antitijela. \u010ci\u010din \u0160ain je rekao da ljudi koji su imali blagi oblik infekcije imaju nisku razinu protutijela, te im cjepivo mo\u017ee pomo\u0107i da dignu tu razinu protutijela te da ih \u0161titi od nove zaraze, pogotovo s novim varijantama virusa.

– Prethodna imunost kod novih varijanti ne funkcionira najbolje. Ako imate visok titar antitijela, onda vam on donekle poma\u017ee od tih novih varijanti, rekao je.

Upitan o\u010dekuje li da \u0107e Bruxelles uskoro dopustiti ulazak ruskog cjepiva na europsko tr\u017ei\u0161te, \u010ci\u010din-\u0160ain je rekao kako bi si Rusi najvi\u0161e pomogli u postupku priznavanja kod EMA-e kada bi otvorili sva vrata i dozvolili uvid u sve rezultate.

– Uvijek je javljaju neke sumnje i dvojbe u njihove rezultate, dijelom su si sami krivi jer u rezultatima koje su objavili dolazi do nekonzistentnosti pa citiraju razli\u010dite brojeve ljudi koji su navodno bili za\u0161ti\u0107eni u razli\u010ditim dijelovima istog \u010dlanka. To sve skupa dovodi do sumnji. Vjerujem da se mnoge od tih sumnji mogu otkloniti, rekao je.

 Odre\u0111eni se stru\u010dnjaci zauzimaju za promjenu prioriteta cijepljenja. Smatraju da smo se ve\u0107 trebali okrenuti cijepljenju mla\u0111ih osoba, radnog stanovni\u0161tva koje ima ve\u0107i broj kontakata. Da bi se time prije stalo na kraj pandemiji. 

– Mislim da ima razloga i za jedno i za drugo mi\u0161ljenje. Mislim da bi trebalo cijepiti i ljude koji su \u017ei\u017ei kontakata i koji tako mogu prenositi virus, ali apsolutno to ne bi trebalo napraviti nau\u0161trb starijih koji su rizi\u010dni. Vjerojatno je u redu da se nastavi ritmom koji imamo kako bi procijepili starije, a onda krenuli i na populaciju koja je u velikom broju kontakata s ljudima kako bi sprije\u010dili \u0161irenje virusa.

U drugoj smo godini pandemije.  \u010cini se da pojavi opasnijih mutacija nema kraja. Pojavio se i novi soj virusa – P1 iz Ju\u017ene Amerike koji je ve\u0107 stigao u Europu. 

– Taj virus je prvi put opisan negdje krajem pro\u0161le godine i on je vrlo sli\u010dan ju\u017enoafri\u010dkoj varijanti koja je u Hrvatsku do\u0161la prije nekoliko tjedana. Imaju mutacije na istim mjestima i na sli\u010dan na\u010din su se razvili u poku\u0161aju virusa da izbjegne imunolo\u0161ki nadzor tako da ga protutijela od ljudi koji su preboljeli infekciju vi\u0161e ne mogu prepoznati. To je jedan problem jer i cjepiva kod njih djeluju slabije. Preporuka je svakome da uzme i drugu dozu cjepiva kako bi mu titar protutijela bio vi\u0161i, ka\u017ee \u010ci\u010din-\u0160ain.

Njema\u010dka je Hrvatsku stavila na listu visokorizi\u010dnih zemalja. \u010ci\u010din-\u0160ain je rekao da je mnogim Nijemcima koji planiraju godi\u0161nje odmore va\u017ena razina sigurnosti u odabranom odredi\u0161tu.

– Svako do njih, \u0161togod mislio o Hrvatskoj kao odredi\u0161tu, po povratku iz jedne takve zemlje mora pro\u0107i kroz karantenu koja \u0107e mu oduzeti tjedan dana godi\u0161njeg odmora. To je razlog za\u0161to \u0107e ljudi biti manje biti skloni da odu u jednu zonu jer ih lokalne vlasti prisiljavaju da moraju biti kod ku\u0107e, rekao je.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Izvor:hrt.hr<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Situacija \u0107e se nastaviti razvijati ovom trajektorijom koja je sada prisutna, ne\u0107e do\u0107i do brzog uru\u0161avanja broja novih slu\u010dajeva, osim eventualno u Primorsko-goranskoj \u017eupaniji koja ide u lockdown, rekao je dr. Luka \u010ci\u010din-\u0160ain, virusni imunolog, gostuju\u0107i u Dnevniku HTV-a. Nezavisni ameri\u010dki institut za procjene u zdravstvu na Sveu\u010dili\u0161tu u Washingtonu iznio je da je u […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":11861,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"h5ap_radio_sources":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bihiregija"],"yoast_head":"\n\u010ci\u010din-\u0160ain otkrio za\u0161to su prognoze ameri\u010dkog instituta za Hrvatsku pogre\u0161ne - RADIO LJUBU\u0160KI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/index.php\/2021\/04\/11\/cicin-sain-otkrio-zasto-su-prognoze-americkog-instituta-za-hrvatsku-pogresne\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hr_HR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u010ci\u010din-\u0160ain otkrio za\u0161to su prognoze ameri\u010dkog instituta za Hrvatsku pogre\u0161ne - RADIO LJUBU\u0160KI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Situacija \u0107e se nastaviti razvijati ovom trajektorijom koja je sada prisutna, ne\u0107e do\u0107i do brzog uru\u0161avanja broja novih slu\u010dajeva, osim eventualno u Primorsko-goranskoj \u017eupaniji koja ide u lockdown, rekao je dr. 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