{"id":119489,"date":"2022-03-09T11:36:58","date_gmt":"2022-03-09T10:36:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/?p=119489"},"modified":"2022-03-09T11:36:59","modified_gmt":"2022-03-09T10:36:59","slug":"znanstvenici-pogresno-je-misliti-da-je-pandemija-gotova","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/index.php\/2022\/03\/09\/znanstvenici-pogresno-je-misliti-da-je-pandemija-gotova\/","title":{"rendered":"Znanstvenici: Pogre\u0161no je misliti da je pandemija gotova"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Koliko \u0107e jo\u0161 trajati pandemija? Nitko ne zna. Broj zaraza koronavirusom pada, ali pogre\u0161no je misliti da je pandemija gotova, ka\u017eu stru\u010dnjaci.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nedavni pad broja slu\u010dajeva zna\u010di da vjerojatno po\u010dinje period smirivanja pandemije koji se mo\u017ee okarakterizirati kao \u201cobuzdavanje\u201c virusa, ali \u201cto nije isto \u0161to i kraj pandemije\u201c, napisao je u Los Angeles Timesu u velja\u010du dr. Eric Topol, profesor molekularne medicine na Istra\u017eiva\u010dkom institutu Strips u San Diegu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cKada dr\u017eavnici ka\u017eu da samo trebamo nastaviti \u017eivjeti s virusom i ukinuti sve restrikcije, ljudi to na\u017ealost protuma\u010de kao znak da je pandemija gotova \u2013 zauvijek\u201c, rekao je Topol i dodao da je takvo razmi\u0161ljanje puka fantazija jer je mogu\u0107e da \u0107emo se s virusom boriti jo\u0161 mjesecima i godinama.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160to nas u\u010di povijest<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nedavna povijest pokazala nam je da pandemije mogu potrajati i po nekoliko godina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pandemija \u201c\u0161panjolske gripe\u201d iz 1918. trajala je tri godine, a njezin \u010detvrti val iz 1920. za neke je ameri\u010dke gradove bio smrtonosniji od poznatijeg drugog vala u 1918., napisao je John Barry, autor knjige \u201cThe Great Influenza: The Story of the Deadliest Pandemic in History\u201c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Znanstvenici su nedavno po\u010deli prou\u010davati pandemiju \u201cruske gripe\u201c iz 1889. da bi na\u0161li naznake za to kako bi se trenutna pandemija covida mogla razvijati jer sumnjaju da joj je uzro\u010dnik bio koronavirus, a ne virus gripe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Postoje sli\u010dnosti izme\u0111u ovih dviju pandemija. Ruska pandemija prvi put se pojavila u prolje\u0107e 1889 na podru\u010dju dana\u0161njeg Uzbekistana. Pro\u0161irila se svijetom u tri vala tijekom tri godine, kazao je epidemiolog Dr. George Rutherford sa Sveu\u010dili\u0161ta Kalifornija u San Franciscu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gripa je specifi\u010dna po tome \u0161to najte\u017ee poga\u0111a vrlo mlade i stare ljude, dok je ruska gripa \u201cpogodila samo stare\u201c, dodao je Rutherford. Zanimljivo je da su simptomi specifi\u010dni za pandemiju 1889. bili gubitak njuha i okusa, kao i kod covida-19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U iscrpnom izvje\u0161\u0107u znanstvenika Haralda Br\u00fcssowa, objavljenom pro\u0161le godine u o\u017eujku u \u010dasopisu Microbial Biotechnology, stoji kako je izgledno da bi period pove\u0107anog broja smrtnih slu\u010dajeva vezanih uz covid-19 mogao potrajati i dulje od pet godina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pandemija iz 1889. u Englesku i Wales stigla je godinu poslije i do 1892. uzrokovala velik broj smrti. Tijekom idu\u0107e dvije godine broj smrtnih ishoda je pao, ali je \u201ci dalje bio znatno vi\u0161i nego u vremenu prije pandemije.\u201c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIz ovih podataka mo\u017ee se vidjeti da je ova pandemija, koja je nalik pandemiji covida, trajala pet godina, \u0161to zna\u010di da bi nas covid mogao mu\u010diti i nakon 2022. ako kampanje za cijepljenje ne promijene \u201cprirodni\u201c tijek virusa\u201c, napisao je Br\u00fcssow, dodaju\u0107i da \u201czasad nije jasno ho\u0107e li tijek doga\u0111anja ove pandemije biti sli\u010dan onome od prije 140 godina.\u201c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cVa\u017eno je spomenuti i brojne razlike izme\u0111u pandemije ruske gripe i pandemije covida-19. Za trajanja \u2018ruske \u2018 manje su se koristile maske, mjere karantene bile su rijetke, a cjepiva nedostupna.\u201c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Spremni za najgori scenarij<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cJo\u0161 postoji mogu\u0107nost da virus mutira, postane opasniji i zaobi\u0111e imunitet stvoren cjepivima i preboljenjem\u201c, kazao je Topol.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zato je va\u017eno biti spreman za najgori scenarij, trebamo nadzirati nove skokove u broju zara\u017eenih, pratiti virus u otpadnim vodama, pobolj\u0161ati ventilacijske sustave i stvoriti cjepivo za sve varijante virusa, napisao je Topol.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zbog mogu\u0107ih novih varijanti klju\u010dno je nastaviti s cijepljenjem kako bi sprije\u010dili nastanak novih, mutiranih varijanti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cU svijetu imamo milijarde necijepljenih ljudi koji nemaju za\u0161titu od prija\u0161njih infekcija\u201c, kazao je Topol. \u201cKad se virus ne kontrolira, kao \u0161to je to slu\u010daj sada, pove\u0107ava se \u0161ansa za nastanak novih varijanti\u201c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stru\u010dnjaci jo\u0161 prou\u010davaju BA.2, podvrstu varijante omikron.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BA.2 se vjerojatno lak\u0161e prenosi od glavne podvrste BA.1, a postoje izvje\u0161\u0107a po kojima uzrokuje i te\u017ee simptome, tvrdi Rutherford.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No BA.2 je zaslu\u017ean za relativno mali postotak slu\u010dajeva zaraze u svijetu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cTrenuta\u010dno ne izgleda da \u0107e BA.2 prerasti u veliku prijetnju, ali ne bi nas trebalo \u010duditi ako se u sljede\u0107im mjesecima pojavi nova varijanta koja \u0107e zaslu\u017eiti vlastito gr\u010dko slovo\u201c, napisao je Topol.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Izvor.pogled.ba<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Koliko \u0107e jo\u0161 trajati pandemija? Nitko ne zna. Broj zaraza koronavirusom pada, ali pogre\u0161no je misliti da je pandemija gotova, ka\u017eu stru\u010dnjaci. Nedavni pad broja slu\u010dajeva zna\u010di da vjerojatno po\u010dinje period smirivanja pandemije koji se mo\u017ee okarakterizirati kao \u201cobuzdavanje\u201c virusa, ali \u201cto nije isto \u0161to i kraj pandemije\u201c, napisao je u Los Angeles Timesu u […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":67558,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"h5ap_radio_sources":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-119489","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bihiregija"],"yoast_head":"\nZnanstvenici: Pogre\u0161no je misliti da je pandemija gotova - RADIO LJUBU\u0160KI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/index.php\/2022\/03\/09\/znanstvenici-pogresno-je-misliti-da-je-pandemija-gotova\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hr_HR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Znanstvenici: Pogre\u0161no je misliti da je pandemija gotova - RADIO LJUBU\u0160KI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Koliko \u0107e jo\u0161 trajati pandemija? 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