{"id":119576,"date":"2022-03-09T12:55:15","date_gmt":"2022-03-09T11:55:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/?p=119576"},"modified":"2022-03-09T12:55:16","modified_gmt":"2022-03-09T11:55:16","slug":"bbc-moze-li-svijet-prezivjeti-bez-ruske-nafte-i-plina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/index.php\/2022\/03\/09\/bbc-moze-li-svijet-prezivjeti-bez-ruske-nafte-i-plina\/","title":{"rendered":"BBC: Mo\u017ee li svijet pre\u017eivjeti bez ruske nafte i plina?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Zbog invazije na Ukrajinu, SAD, Velika Britanija, i Europska unija najavile su u utorak ograni\u010denje uvoza nafte i plina iz Rusije.<\/p>\n\n\n\n


Kakve su sve sankcije uvedene?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

SAD je u utorak najavio potpunu zabranu uvoza ruske nafte, plina, i ugljena, nakon \u0161to je Ukrajina pozvala me\u0111unarodnu zajednicu da pro\u0161iri ve\u0107 postoje\u0107e trgovinske sankcije. Velika Britanija namjerava do kraja ove godine postepeno ukinuti uvoz ruske nafte, a istovremeno Europska unija namjerava drasti\u010dno srezati koli\u010dine energenata koje uvozi iz Rusije, i to za dvije tre\u0107ine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Britanska vlada ka\u017ee da \u0107e im to vrijeme, do kraja teku\u0107e godine, daje dovoljno prostora da na\u0111u alternativne dobavlja\u010de. U Rusiji, potpredsjednik vlade, Aleksandar Novak, rekao je da bi odbacivanje ruske nfte moglo dovesti do \u201ckatastrofalnih posljedica za globalno tr\u017ei\u0161te.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Globalne cijene nafte i plina su ve\u0107 naglo sko\u010dile nakon ovih najava \u2013 a mogle bi i nastaviti rasti ako Rusija obustavi izvoz, pi\u0161e BBC, prenosi N1.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Koliko nafte izvozi Rusija?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusija je tre\u0107i najve\u0107i proizvo\u0111a\u010d nafte na svijetu, iza SAD-a i Saudijske Arabije. Rusija izvozi oko pet milijuna barela sirove nafte dnevno, a negdje polovica te koli\u010dine ide u Europu. SAD ne ovisi toliko o ruskoj nafti \u2013 od ukupne koli\u010dine nafte koju su Amerikanci uvezli 2020. godine, na rusku naftu otpada samo 3%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160to je s alternativnim dobavlja\u010dima?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stru\u010dnjaci ka\u017eu da bi trebalo biti lak\u0161e na\u0107i druge izvore za nabavu nafte nego \u0161to je to slu\u010daj s plinom. Plinovoda ima manje, ali kad se radi o naftovodima osim ruskih ima i mnogo alternativnih.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

SAD ve\u0107 neko vrijeme tra\u017ei od Saudijske Arabije da pove\u0107a proizvodnju nafte \u2013 no takvi zahtjevi otprije, kad su Amerikanci tra\u017eili pove\u0107anje proizvodnje kako bi se snizile cijene na tr\u017ei\u0161tu, su redovno nai\u0161li na odbijanje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Saudijska Arabija je najve\u0107i proizvo\u0111a\u010d u OPEC-u \u2013 kartelu zemalja kojima je nafta glavna ekonomska grana i koje zajedno \u010dine oko 60% ukupne svjetske proizvodnje sirove nafte. Zbog toga, OPEC ima klju\u010dnu ulogu u formiranju cijena nafte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusija nije \u010dlanica OPEC-a, ali je od 2017. godine po\u010dela blisko sura\u0111ivati s njima zajedni\u010dkim ograni\u010davanjem proizvodnje kako bi se time cijena nafte \u2013 i time prihodi proizvo\u0111a\u010da \u2013 mogla odr\u017eavati stabilnom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

SAD tako\u0111er razmatra popu\u0161tanje sankcija na izvoz nafte koje su uvedene Venezueli. Ta zemlja je neko\u0107 bila jedan od glavnih dobavlja\u010da nafte za SAD, ali u zadnje vrijeme Venezuela ve\u0107inu nafte koju proizvede uglavnom prodaje Kini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160to bi se dogodilo kad bi ruski plin prestao i\u0107i u Europu?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cijene grijanja \u2013 koje su ve\u0107 prili\u010dno visoke \u2013 bi dodatno narasle. Ruski plin \u010dini oko 40% cijelog europskog uvoza plina. Osobito su pritom izlo\u017eene Italija i Njema\u010dka, koje najvi\u0161e ovise o ruskom plinu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Europa bi to mogla nadomjestiti okretanjem postoje\u0107im izvoznicima plina poput Katara, Al\u017eira, ili Nigerije, ali postoje tehni\u010dke prepreke koje bi trebalo rije\u0161iti da bi se u tim zemljama u kratkom roku pove\u0107ala proizvodnja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160to se ti\u010de SAD-a i Velika Britanije \u2013 iz Rusije dolazi samo 5% plina kojeg tro\u0161e Britanci, a SAD uop\u0107e ne uvozi ruski plin. Me\u0111utim, cijene plina su u obje zemlje svejedno zna\u010dajno porasle kao posljedica zastoja u globalnoj opskrbi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mo\u017ee li se na\u0107i zamjena za plin iz Rusije?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ne ba\u0161 lako. \u201cTe\u017ee je nadomjestiti plin, zato \u0161to imamo velike plinovode koji plin prenose iz Rusije u Europu,\u201d rekao je za BBC Ben McWilliams, analiti\u010dar koji se bavi energetskom politikom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stru\u010dnjaci s ekonomskog instituta Bruegel iz Bruxellesa ka\u017eu da bi u slu\u010daju prekida ruskog izvoza plina prema Europi, manjak mogao biti nadokna\u0111en uvozom ukapljenog plina (LNG) iz SAD-a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Druga posljedica bi mogla biti pove\u0107ano oslanjanje na druge izvore energije \u2013 ali to je proces koji nije ni brz ni lagan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cObnovljivim izvorima \u0107e trebati jo\u0161 dosta vremena da postanu zna\u010dajni, tako da kratkoro\u010dno oni ne mogu biti rje\u0161enje,\u201d ka\u017ee analiti\u010dar Simone Tagliapietra. \u201cZato, kad se radi o nadolaze\u0107oj zimi, Europi mo\u017ee pomo\u0107i prebacivanje na neki drugi izvor goriva, kao na primjer ponovno pokretanje elektrana na ugljen. Italija i Njema\u010dka imaju pripremljen taj scenarij za hitne slu\u010dajeve.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

EU je napravila plan po kojemu bi Europa mogla prestati ovisiti o ruskim fosilnim gorivima \u201cprije 2030. godine.\u201d On uklju\u010duje mjere koje predvi\u0111aju diverzifikaciju opskrbe plinom, ali i zamjenu plina kao goriva za grijanje i proizvodnju struje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160to \u0107e biti s ra\u010dunima za grijanje i cijenama goriva?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Potro\u0161a\u010di \u0107e se morati nositi sa sve ve\u0107im cijenama energije i goriva, koje su do\u0161le kao posljedica rata. U Velikoj Britaniji, ra\u010duni za energiju koje pla\u0107aju ku\u0107anstva zasad nisu podivljali jer postoje propisane maksimalne cijene koje se revidiraju svakih 6 mjeseci.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Me\u0111utim, stru\u010dnjaci prognoziraju da bi ra\u010duni prosje\u010dnog britanskog ku\u0107anstva mogli porasti za 700 funti i dosegnuti oko 2,000 funti (2,400 eura) u travnju, kad do\u0111e do nove revizije cijena. A kad se opet revidiraju na jesen, prognozira se da bi ra\u010duni mogli dosegnuti 3,000 funti (3,600 eura).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cijene benzina i dizela su tako\u0111er sko\u010dile, a za benzin se o\u010dekuje da \u0107e cijena za Britance dosegnuti 1.75 funti za litru benzina (2.11 eura, 16 kn) kako rat u Ukrajini bude odmicao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U Americi, cijene benzina su trenutno na najvi\u0161im razinama od 2008., a nacionalno udru\u017eenje autoklubova AAA ka\u017ee da su prodajne cijene na benzinskim pumpama sko\u010dile 11% samo u zadnjih sedam dana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cMislim da smo se sad na\u0161li u svijetu u kojem \u0107emo u slu\u010daju da ruska nafta i plin prestanu te\u0107i u Europu morati uvesti neki oblik propisane ograni\u010dene potro\u0161nje,\u201d ka\u017ee McWilliams.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cSada je dio tog razgovora postalo i pitanje mo\u017eemo li ku\u0107anstvima re\u0107i da smanje grijanje za jedan stupanj \u2013 jer time bi se u\u0161tedjela zna\u010dajna koli\u010dina plina.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Izvor:N1<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zbog invazije na Ukrajinu, SAD, Velika Britanija, i Europska unija najavile su u utorak ograni\u010denje uvoza nafte i plina iz Rusije. Kakve su sve sankcije uvedene? SAD je u utorak najavio potpunu zabranu uvoza ruske nafte, plina, i ugljena, nakon \u0161to je Ukrajina pozvala me\u0111unarodnu zajednicu da pro\u0161iri ve\u0107 postoje\u0107e trgovinske sankcije. Velika Britanija namjerava […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":56411,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-119576","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bihiregija"],"yoast_head":"\nBBC: Mo\u017ee li svijet pre\u017eivjeti bez ruske nafte i plina? - RADIO LJUBU\u0160KI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/index.php\/2022\/03\/09\/bbc-moze-li-svijet-prezivjeti-bez-ruske-nafte-i-plina\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hr_HR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"BBC: Mo\u017ee li svijet pre\u017eivjeti bez ruske nafte i plina? - RADIO LJUBU\u0160KI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Zbog invazije na Ukrajinu, SAD, Velika Britanija, i Europska unija najavile su u utorak ograni\u010denje uvoza nafte i plina iz Rusije. 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