{"id":147238,"date":"2022-06-08T00:20:09","date_gmt":"2022-06-07T23:20:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/?p=147238"},"modified":"2022-06-08T00:20:11","modified_gmt":"2022-06-07T23:20:11","slug":"ek-priznala-da-nije-provela-procjenu-ekonomskog-ucinka-zabrane-uvoza-ruskog-plina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/index.php\/2022\/06\/08\/ek-priznala-da-nije-provela-procjenu-ekonomskog-ucinka-zabrane-uvoza-ruskog-plina\/","title":{"rendered":"EK priznala da nije provela procjenu ekonomskog u\u010dinka zabrane uvoza ruskog plina"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Europska komisija nije provela procjenu ekonomskog u\u010dinka svog nastojanja da se do kraja godine smanji uvoz ruskog plina za dvije tre\u0107ine, \u0161to je prvi korak njenog plana od 300 milijardi eura za potpuno ukidanje uvoza ruske energije do 2027., saznao je pro\u0161log tjedna Euractiv<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Umjesto procjene, Komisija je provela \u201csimulaciju\u201d u svojoj proljetnoj ekonomskoj prognozi koja razmatra utjecaj naglog zaustavljanja uvoza ruskog plina. \u201cU usporedbi s naglim prekidom uvoza ruskog plina, postupno smanjenje za 2\/3 bilo bi mnogo lak\u0161e, jer bi tvrtke i potro\u0161a\u010di imali vremena za pripremu, a vlade bi mogle osigurati kriti\u010dnu infrastrukturu za alternativni uvoz\u201d, rekao je glasnogovornik Komisije za Euractiv.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cKihanje\u201d njema\u010dkog gospodarstva<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Me\u0111utim, tvrtke u cijeloj EU oprezne su zbog nadolaze\u0107ih ekonomskih posljedica tog poteza.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Od po\u010detka rata u Ukrajini Njema\u010dka je smanjila svoje oslanjanje na uvoz ruskog plina. Do kraja godine Berlin planira dodatno smanjiti uvoz na 30% ukupnog uvoza plina, gotovo polovicu od pro\u0161logodi\u0161njeg uvoza.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Me\u0111utim, dosad postignuta smanjena ovisnost djelomi\u010dno je potaknuta smanjenjem potra\u017enje njema\u010dke industrije.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cZbog naglog rasta cijena plina, potra\u017enja za plinom ionako neprestano pada, do 10% u industriji samo u prvim mjesecima rata\u201d, rekla je Claudia Kemfert, voditeljica odjela za energetiku, promet i okoli\u0161 na Njema\u010dkom institutu za ekonomska istra\u017eivanja (DIW).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U me\u0111uvremenu, njema\u010dke tvrtke kriti\u010dne su prema planu Komisije da smanji uvoz ruskog plina za dvije tre\u0107ine do kraja godine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cSna\u017ena volja i plan Europske komisije da prekine opskrbu novca Rusiji putem energetskog embarga ne\u0107e pro\u0107i bez problema\u201d, kazao je Marc S. Tenbieg, izvr\u0161ni direktor Njema\u010dke udruge za mala i srednja poduze\u0107a(DMB).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u010cak i kada bi se prona\u0161la alternativa ruskom uvozu plina, plinski embargo \u201cne bi samo kratkoro\u010dno doveo do zna\u010dajnog dodatnog optere\u0107enja njema\u010dkog gospodarstva, ve\u0107 i do zahtjeva za kompenzacijom od strane tvrtki\u201d, dodao je.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prema Tenbiegu, plan Europske komisije za smanjenje uvoza ruskog plina samo je \u017eelja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S druge strane neki su uvjereni da je smanjenje pod odre\u0111enim uvjetima odr\u017eivo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cMogu\u0107e je smanjiti uvoz ruskog plina i da se on mo\u017ee \u010dak i potpuno isklju\u010diti\u201d, rekao je ekonomski stru\u010dnjak Kemfert za EURACTIV. Njema\u010dka bi morala pove\u0107ati uvoz LNG-a, napuniti skladi\u0161ta plina, uvesti mjere za u\u0161tedu plina i ulo\u017eiti velika sredstva u obnovljive izvore energije kako bi postigla ovaj cilj.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rezanje ruskog plina moglo bi dovesti do gubitaka do 5% bruto nacionalnog proizvoda u Njema\u010dkoj i zna\u010dajnih negativnih posljedica u drugim europskim zemljama.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gospodarski u\u010dinak pada \u010dak i bez pritiska Komisije za ubrzano ukidanje ruskog plina \u201czbog vrlo sna\u017enog ukupnog pove\u0107anja cijena fosilne energije i povezane inflacije\u201d, naglasio je Kemfert.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u0160to se bolje i intenzivnije pripremamo za plinski embargo, manji su negativni u\u010dinci na nacionalno gospodarstvo\u201d, smatra ekonomski analiti\u010dar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Italija bi mogla biti jo\u0161 pogo\u0111enija<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Ostala velika europska gospodarstva mogla bi biti jo\u0161 te\u017ee pogo\u0111ena.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Usporavanje rasta talijanskog BDP-a bit \u0107e o\u010ditije nego u ostatku Europe zbog energetskih i gospodarskih veza zemlje s Moskvom, rekao je povjerenik za gospodarstvo i biv\u0161i premijer Paolo Gentiloni u Talijanskom bankarskom udru\u017eenju (ABI).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nakon gospodarskih prognoza Confindustrie u slu\u010daju mogu\u0107eg zatvaranja ruskog plina, Gentiloni je rekao da o\u010dekuje \u201czna\u010dajan utjecaj na izglede rasta ove godine, posebno za zemlju poput Italije koja je me\u0111u najve\u0107im uvoznicima ruskog plina u Europi\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gentiloni je podsjetio da Europska komisija predvi\u0111a rast talijanskog gospodarstva od 2,4 posto u 2022. i manje od 2 posto u 2023. godini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gentiloni je tako\u0111er ponovio poziv Komisije zemljama da usvoje \u201copreznije\u201d politike budu\u0107i da je Bruxelles zaustavio fiskalna pravila bloka do kraja 2023. Zemlje s visokim dugom poput Italije \u201ctrebaju obratiti posebnu pozornost na javne financije u ovim okolnostima\u201d, dodao je.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Izvor: narod.hr\/euractiv.com<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Europska komisija nije provela procjenu ekonomskog u\u010dinka svog nastojanja da se do kraja godine smanji uvoz ruskog plina za dvije tre\u0107ine, \u0161to je prvi korak njenog plana od 300 milijardi eura za potpuno ukidanje uvoza ruske energije do 2027., saznao je pro\u0161log tjedna Euractiv. Umjesto procjene, Komisija je provela \u201csimulaciju\u201d u svojoj proljetnoj ekonomskoj prognozi koja […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":68767,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-147238","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bihiregija"],"yoast_head":"\nEK priznala da nije provela procjenu ekonomskog u\u010dinka zabrane uvoza ruskog plina - RADIO LJUBU\u0160KI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/index.php\/2022\/06\/08\/ek-priznala-da-nije-provela-procjenu-ekonomskog-ucinka-zabrane-uvoza-ruskog-plina\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hr_HR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"EK priznala da nije provela procjenu ekonomskog u\u010dinka zabrane uvoza ruskog plina - RADIO LJUBU\u0160KI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Europska komisija nije provela procjenu ekonomskog u\u010dinka svog nastojanja da se do kraja godine smanji uvoz ruskog plina za dvije tre\u0107ine, \u0161to je prvi korak njenog plana od 300 milijardi eura za potpuno ukidanje uvoza ruske energije do 2027., saznao je pro\u0161log tjedna Euractiv. 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