{"id":165894,"date":"2022-08-02T14:00:17","date_gmt":"2022-08-02T13:00:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/?p=165894"},"modified":"2022-08-02T14:00:19","modified_gmt":"2022-08-02T13:00:19","slug":"sto-saudijska-arabija-i-uae-mogu-uciniti-da-smanje-cijene-nafte","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/index.php\/2022\/08\/02\/sto-saudijska-arabija-i-uae-mogu-uciniti-da-smanje-cijene-nafte\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0160to Saudijska Arabija i UAE mogu u\u010diniti da smanje cijene nafte?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Najve\u0107i svjetski proizvo\u0111a\u010di nafte u srijedu \u0107e odr\u017eati klju\u010dni sastanak kako bi odlu\u010dili koliko nafte od rujna mogu dodati na tr\u017ei\u0161te, no mnogi su skepti\u010dni u povoljan ishod toga susreta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n


Sastanak \u0107e se odr\u017eati nekoliko tjedana nakon \u0161to je ameri\u010dki predsjednik Joe Biden otputovao u Saudijsku Arabiju u poku\u0161aju da osobno uvjeri tu zemlju da poja\u010da proizvodnju i pomogne u ubla\u017eavanju rasta cijena.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Od velja\u010de se sirovom naftom trguje konstantno po vi\u0161e od 100 dolara po barelu, \u0161to pove\u0107ava tro\u0161kove \u017eivota u mnogim zemljama, pi\u0161e BBC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Za\u0161to je sastanak va\u017ean?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bijela ku\u0107a nada se da \u0107e 13 klju\u010dnih \u010dlanica Organizacije zemalja izvoznice nafte (OPEC) odlu\u010diti pove\u0107ati zalihe nafte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Saudijska Arabija je najve\u0107i pojedina\u010dni proizvo\u0111a\u010d u kartelu. Nakon sastanka sa saudijskim prijestolonasljednikom Mohammedom Bin Salmanom, Biden je rekao da o\u010dekuje pove\u0107anje ponude.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Me\u0111utim, saudijski du\u017enosnici tako\u0111er su naglasili da \u0107e se bilo kakva odluka o pove\u0107anju zaliha donijeti u dogovoru formata OPEC+.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

OPEC+ je \u0161ira skupina od 23 zemlje izvoznice nafte koja uklju\u010duje Rusiju. \u010clanice se sastaju svakog mjeseca u Be\u010du kako bi odlu\u010dile koliko \u0107e sirove nafte prodati na svjetskom tr\u017ei\u0161tu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160to bi moglo spustiti cijene nafte?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

OPEC+ je jo\u0161 u travnju 2020. uveo niz rezova koji su nastavljeni tijekom pandemije koronavirusa dok je potra\u017enja padala, a od 2021. polako obnavlja zalihe koje nedostaju.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Na zadnjem sastanku skupine OPEC+ je odlu\u010dio blago pove\u0107ati proizvodnju barela u kolovozu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No, odvrnuti slavine do kraja mo\u017eda ne\u0107e biti tako jednostavno. Naime, barem na papiru, nekoliko \u010dlanica, poput Angole, Nigerije i Malezije, ve\u0107 se bore kako bi ispunile svoje postoje\u0107e mjese\u010dne ciljeve opskrbe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U isto vrijeme, pale su ruske isporuke zbog zapadnih sankcija. Moskva je u me\u0111uvremenu pove\u0107ala svoje isporuke prema kupcima u Aziji, poput Kine i Indije.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mo\u017ee li svijet pre\u017eivjeti bez ruske nafte i plina?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Saudijska Arabija zajedno sa svojim susjedom Ujedinjenim Arapskim Emiratima (UAE) jedina su dva velika igra\u010da s rezervnim zalihama.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Me\u0111utim, saudijska ciljana proizvodnja u kolovozu iznosi 11 milijuna barela nafte dnevno, za \u0161to stru\u010dnjaci tvrde da je ve\u0107 na vrlo visokoj razini te da ostavlja malo prostora za dodatno pove\u0107anje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ipak, neizvjesnost oko potra\u017enje za energijom u nadolaze\u0107im mjesecima mo\u017eda \u0107e vi\u0161e utjecati na odluku tandema.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rastu\u0107e kamatne stope, rat u Ukrajini i nadolaze\u0107a recesija u mnogim zapadnim zemljama, mogli bi ozbiljno smanjiti potra\u017enju.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stru\u010dnjaci smatraju da ti \u010dimbenici dr\u017ee skupinu na oprezu te nespremnu za dramati\u010dno pove\u0107anje proizvodnje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201eNitko ne zna gdje \u0107e biti tr\u017ei\u0161te nafte za \u0161est mjeseci ili sljede\u0107e godine\u201d, kazala je vi\u0161a suradnica na Institutu za Bliski istok Karen Young.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dodala je da to zna\u010di da \u0107e Saudijska Arabija i UAE htjeti razumno koristiti svoje rezervne zalihe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cOni ne \u017eele biti u situaciji u kojoj koriste svoje ograni\u010dene rezervne kapacitete za pove\u0107anje proizvodnje, a onda odjednom, ako potra\u017enja naglo poraste ili padne, u budu\u0107nosti ostaju bez prostora za prilagodbe\u201d, rekla je.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prije invazije na Ukrajinu, Rusija je bila tre\u0107i svjetski proizvo\u0111a\u010d nafte, iza SAD-a i Saudijske Arabije. \u010cinila je 8 do 10 posto globalne ponude nafte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u017ei\u0161ni analiti\u010dari smatraju da predsjednik Vladimir Putin \u017eeli zadr\u017eati visoke cijene nafte kako bi mogao nastaviti pla\u0107ati rat u Ukrajini i sprije\u010diti utjecaj zapadnih ekonomskih sankcija.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Za Saudijsku Arabiju najva\u017enije je jedinstvo u OPEC-u + te bi mogla izbje\u0107i bilo kakvu odluku koja bi to mogla ugroziti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160to \u0107e biti s cijenama?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam OPEC predvi\u0111a da \u0107e globalna potra\u017enja za naftom porasti 2023. godine, iako sporijim tempom u odnosu na ovu godinu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Njegovi analiti\u010dari smatraju da \u0107e to djelomi\u010dno biti potaknuto napretkom u suzbijanju koronavirusa u Kini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Procjene Me\u0111unarodne agencije za energiju (IEA) i ameri\u010dke Uprave za energetske informacije u me\u0111uvremenu pokazuju da \u0107e potra\u017enja za naftom nastaviti sna\u017eno rasti, unato\u010d rastu\u0107im strahovima zbog inflacije u vi\u0161e zemalja i slabljenju gospodarskog rasta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To zna\u010di da bi se proizvo\u0111a\u010di nafte mogli na\u0107i u situaciji da \u0107e morati pumpati naftu najbr\u017eim tempom u pet godina kako bi uravnote\u017eili ponudu i potra\u017enju \u2013 \u0161to je te\u017eak zadatak, s obzirom na ograni\u010denja kapaciteta i nedostatak ulaganja u poslovanje prerade i prodaje te rafiniranja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cNa tr\u017ei\u0161tima postoji velika volatilnost, ali malo ljudi o\u010dekuje trajni pad ispod 100 dolara po barelu\u201d, rekao je vi\u0161i suradnik Centra za strate\u0161ke i me\u0111unarodne studije Ben Cahill.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cijene benzina u SAD-u ove su godine ve\u0107 dotaknule 13-godi\u0161nji maksimum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

SAD od travnja otpu\u0161ta oko milijun barela dnevno iz svojih strate\u0161kih rezervi nafte (SPR) u sklopu svog plana dodavanja oko 180 milijuna barela na tr\u017ei\u0161te tijekom \u0161estomjese\u010dnog razdoblja koje zavr\u0161ava krajem listopada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No, Cahill upozorava da \u0107e opskrba postati jo\u0161 zategnutija, stavljaju\u0107i ve\u0107i pritisak na cijene, nakon \u0161to se to dodavanje barela na tr\u017ei\u0161te zaustavi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cJo\u0161 uvijek nismo vidjeli nikakve znakove ve\u0107ih ulaganja u pove\u0107anje proizvodnje. Dakle, ako potra\u017enja poraste, ne\u0107emo imati dovoljno zaliha za uravnote\u017eenje tr\u017ei\u0161ta\u201d, dodao je.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Izvor:pogled.ba<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Najve\u0107i svjetski proizvo\u0111a\u010di nafte u srijedu \u0107e odr\u017eati klju\u010dni sastanak kako bi odlu\u010dili koliko nafte od rujna mogu dodati na tr\u017ei\u0161te, no mnogi su skepti\u010dni u povoljan ishod toga susreta. Sastanak \u0107e se odr\u017eati nekoliko tjedana nakon \u0161to je ameri\u010dki predsjednik Joe Biden otputovao u Saudijsku Arabiju u poku\u0161aju da osobno uvjeri tu zemlju da […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22535,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"h5ap_radio_sources":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-165894","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bihiregija"],"yoast_head":"\n\u0160to Saudijska Arabija i UAE mogu u\u010diniti da smanje cijene nafte? - RADIO LJUBU\u0160KI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/index.php\/2022\/08\/02\/sto-saudijska-arabija-i-uae-mogu-uciniti-da-smanje-cijene-nafte\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hr_HR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u0160to Saudijska Arabija i UAE mogu u\u010diniti da smanje cijene nafte? - RADIO LJUBU\u0160KI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Najve\u0107i svjetski proizvo\u0111a\u010di nafte u srijedu \u0107e odr\u017eati klju\u010dni sastanak kako bi odlu\u010dili koliko nafte od rujna mogu dodati na tr\u017ei\u0161te, no mnogi su skepti\u010dni u povoljan ishod toga susreta. 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