{"id":48732,"date":"2021-08-01T11:11:13","date_gmt":"2021-08-01T10:11:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/?p=48732"},"modified":"2021-08-01T11:11:15","modified_gmt":"2021-08-01T10:11:15","slug":"vakula-objavio-prognozu-za-ostatak-ljeta-i-jesen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/index.php\/2021\/08\/01\/vakula-objavio-prognozu-za-ostatak-ljeta-i-jesen\/","title":{"rendered":"Vakula objavio prognozu za ostatak ljeta i jesen"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

PREMDA su u ovo doba godine vru\u0107ina i sparina uobi\u010dajene, dosada\u0161nji dio ljeta diljem je Hrvatske me\u0111u najtoplijima u znanoj povijesti mjerenja, a unato\u010d osvje\u017eenju po\u010detkom sljede\u0107ega tjedna – i kolovoz \u0107e vrlo vjerojatno biti iznadprosje\u010dno topao. Sude\u0107i prema dugoro\u010dnim prognozama – i jesen, pi\u0161e Zoran Vakula za HRT<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Njegovu analizu i prognozu za kolovoz i jesen prenosimo u cijelosti:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hladno prolje\u0107e – vru\u0107e ljeto<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Iako “veza” iz naslova nije pravilo – ove nam se godine upravo to doga\u0111a. Prolje\u0107e – prema klimatolo\u0161kom ra\u010dunanja od 1. o\u017eujka do 31. svibnja – po ocjenama klimatologa DHMZ-a bilo je ve\u0107inom “hladno”, ponegdje i “vrlo hladno”, kakvo mjestimice nije bilo u posljednjih \u010dak i tridesetak godina. \u0160tovi\u0161e, na mnogobrojnim je hrvatskim meteorolo\u0161kim postajama bilo me\u0111u 20 najhladnijih u povijesti mjerenja. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uslijedio je lipanj, koji kao da je \u017eelio nadoknaditi manjak topline – i potvrditi dugoro\u010dne prognoze za ljeto – pa je bio ve\u0107inom “vrlo topao” i “ekstremno topao” – jedan od u ve\u0107ini Hrvatske 5 najtoplijih u povijesti, pri \u010demu je na nekim meteorolo\u0161kim postajama izmjerena rekordna najvi\u0161a dnevna temperatura zraka za te postaje u lipnju.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Novi srpanjski rekord od 42 \u00b0C u Gove\u0111arima na Mljetu klimatolozi DHMZ-a tek trebaju potvrditi, kao i ponavljanje rekordnih 38,7 \u00b0C u Makarskoj, te znatno manje va\u017ene, ali zanimljive rekorde na pojedine nadnevke – primjerice, u Splitu je ovogodi\u0161nji 8. srpnja bio najtopliji u usporedbi s ostalima od 1948. godine, a u Zagrebu se to dogodilo s 13. i 30. srpnja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Srpanj<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

No, ve\u0107 sada se mo\u017ee zaklju\u010diti kako je srednja srpanjska temperatura zraka diljem Hrvatske bila iznadprosje\u010dno visoka, i to ve\u0107inom za 1 do 3 \u00b0C vi\u0161a od klimatolo\u0161kog prosjeka iz trenuta\u010dno va\u017ee\u0107eg razdoblja od 1981. do 2010. godine. Stoga \u0107e klimatolo\u0161ke ocjene biti uglavnom “toplo” i “vrlo toplo”, ponegdje mo\u017eda i “ekstremno toplo”. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pritom \u0107e, nakon detaljnije provjere podataka i analize, ponegdje ovaj srpanj vjerojatno biti 4. najtopliji u povijesti, primjerice na Zavi\u017eanu, te u Osijeku i Splitu, a na postaji Zagreb Maksimir i “bron\u010dani” na listi najtoplijih – odmah iza onih 2012. i 2015. godine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Srednja temperatura zraka od 1. lipnja do 31. srpnja ponegdje je jo\u0161 iznimnija! U Osijeku i Zagrebu \u010dak i rekordna! Pri \u010demu valja spomenuti kako podaci u Maksimiru postoje od 1949. godine, a u Osijeku \u010dak od 1899.! U Gospi\u0107u pak od 1873. – a ovogodi\u0161nje je razdoblje lipanj-srpanj drugo najtoplije, odmah iza istoga 2003. godine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Iznadprosje\u010dno topla i jesen?!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Dugoro\u010dne prognoze daju veliku vjerojatnost nastavka iznadprosje\u010dne topline, i to ne samo u kolovozu, nego i tijekom jeseni – koja prema klimatolo\u0161kom ra\u010dunanju traje od 1. rujna od 30. studenoga. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ali naravno, to ne zna\u010di da \u0107e svi dani i tjedni biti topliji od prosjeka – za o\u010dekivati je i barem povremena hladnija razdoblja. Tako\u0111er, ne smije se zaboraviti kako je rije\u010d o mjese\u010dnim i sezonskim prognozama, koje su znatno manje pouzdane od onih kratkoro\u010dnijih. Uostalom, one za prolje\u0107e mnoge koji ih prate prili\u010dno su razo\u010darale…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Razo\u010daravaju\u0107e su i dalje prognoze oborine, posebice onima koji \u017eude za njihovom precizno\u0161\u0107u u vremenu i prostoru, \u010dak i vi\u0161e dana, pa i sati unaprijed. A pogotovo vi\u0161e tjedana i mjeseci. No, ako se razumije njihova “lokalnost”, tada ne treba \u010duditi kako \u0107e srpanj zbog ukupne mjese\u010dne koli\u010dine oborine ponegdje dobiti klimatolo\u0161ku ocjenu “su\u0161no”, primjerice u Komi\u017ei, gdje je palo samo pola litre ki\u0161e po metru kvadratnom, ali i “ekstremno ki\u0161no”, kao primjerice u Senju, gdje je samo poneka litra nedostajala do novog srpanjskog rekorda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Izvor:index.hr<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

PREMDA su u ovo doba godine vru\u0107ina i sparina uobi\u010dajene, dosada\u0161nji dio ljeta diljem je Hrvatske me\u0111u najtoplijima u znanoj povijesti mjerenja, a unato\u010d osvje\u017eenju po\u010detkom sljede\u0107ega tjedna – i kolovoz \u0107e vrlo vjerojatno biti iznadprosje\u010dno topao. Sude\u0107i prema dugoro\u010dnim prognozama – i jesen, pi\u0161e Zoran Vakula za HRT. Njegovu analizu i prognozu za kolovoz i […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":32488,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"h5ap_radio_sources":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48732","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bihiregija"],"yoast_head":"\nVakula objavio prognozu za ostatak ljeta i jesen - RADIO LJUBU\u0160KI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/radioljubuski.ba\/index.php\/2021\/08\/01\/vakula-objavio-prognozu-za-ostatak-ljeta-i-jesen\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hr_HR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Vakula objavio prognozu za ostatak ljeta i jesen - RADIO LJUBU\u0160KI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"PREMDA su u ovo doba godine vru\u0107ina i sparina uobi\u010dajene, dosada\u0161nji dio ljeta diljem je Hrvatske me\u0111u najtoplijima u znanoj povijesti mjerenja, a unato\u010d osvje\u017eenju po\u010detkom sljede\u0107ega tjedna – i kolovoz \u0107e vrlo vjerojatno biti iznadprosje\u010dno topao. Sude\u0107i prema dugoro\u010dnim prognozama – i jesen, pi\u0161e Zoran Vakula za HRT. 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Sude\u0107i prema dugoro\u010dnim prognozama – i jesen, pi\u0161e Zoran Vakula za HRT. 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